The Victorian Auditor Generals Report has now been released... Available here... An interesting point The previous strategy and current powered two-wheeler plan do not set specific targets for improving motorcycle and scooter safety. The powered two-wheeler plan aimed to ‘significantly reduce’ fatalities and serious injuries. The absence of an analysis estimating reasonable but challenging targets for motorcycle and scooter safety improvements makes it difficult to assess success. These targets become more challenging if, for example, motorcyclists become more exposed because the number of riders and the distance they travel increases. It is important to view performance against targets in the context of changes in exposure. These targets make no allowance for any changes in motorcyclists’ exposure to crash risks. An increase in exposure by 20 per cent is likely to lead to a similar increase in crashes if the other factors affecting risk remain unchanged. In this example, a 20 per cent reduction in the absolute number of serious injuries requires a 40 per cent reduction on the injuries expected with additional safety initiatives. Well duh! An increase in exposure by 20 per cent is likely to lead to a similar increase in crashes - something that doesn't seem to occur to some of the people complaining about an increase in fatalities!